Climate Change and Challenges of Water and Food Security to Smallholder Farmers of Madhya Pradesh: An Overview
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.48165/asl.2025.1.1.1Keywords:
Climate change, irrigation, water and food security, smallholder farmersAbstract
Projections suggest that nearly three-quarters of Himalayan glaciers will have retreated substantially by 2035. Additionally, a reduction in precipitation of approximately 10% is anticipated in Uttar Pradesh, India by 2050, potentially diminishing river drainage by 17%. Freshwater reserves are being depleted at an alarming rate, while expanding global populations and food requirements are eroding agricultural productivity worldwide. How well agriculture adapts to climate change will largely determine the future availability of food globally. India faces mounting challenges, including increasingly frequent droughts, intense flooding events, erratic monsoon patterns, and declining crop production linked to global climate change. Urbanization, rapid industrialization, and growing demands for irrigation water are placing extraordinary pressure on existing water resources. Land degradation is directly linked to rising global temperatures, with roughly 130 million hectares (mha) of Indian land showing various degrees of deterioration — encompassing 32.8 mha affected by water erosion, 10.8 mha by wind erosion, 8.5 mha by desertification, and a further 8.5 mha by waterlogging. This study identifies practical and cost-effective approaches to safeguarding food and water security under a changing climate, while recommending robust adaptation and mitigation strategies to reduce climate change impacts on irrigation and water resource systems.
References
Aggarwal, P. K. (2003). Impact of climate change on Indian agriculture. Journal of Plant Biology, 30, 189–198. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02861378
Aggarwal, P. K. (2008). Global climate change and Indian agriculture: Impacts, adaptation and mitigation. Indian Journal of Agricultural Sciences, 78(10), 911–919.
Alcamo, J., Dronin, N., Endejan, M., et al. (2007). A new assessment of climate change impacts on food production shortfalls and water availability in Russia. Global Environmental Change, 17, 429–444. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2006.12.006
Aldaya, M. M., Allan, J. A., & Hoekstra, A. Y. (2010). Strategic importance of green water in international crop trade. Ecological Economics, 69, 887–894. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2009.11.001
Amarasinghe, U. A., Shah, T., & Anand, B. K. (2007). India’s water supply and demand from 2025–2050: Business-as-usual scenario and issues. IWMI Working Paper.
Anthony Nyong. (2005). Impacts of climate change in the tropics: The African experience. Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change Conference, Exeter, UK.
Asha, L. K. V., Gopinath, M., & Bhat, A. R. S. (2012). Impact of climate change on rain-fed agriculture in India. International Journal of Environmental Science and Development, 3(4), 368–371. https://doi.org/10.7763/IJESD.2012.V3.249
Beddington, J. R., Asaduzzaman, M., & Clark, M. E. (2012). What next for agriculture after Durban. Science, 335, 289–290. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1217227
Birthal, P. S., Khan, M. J., Negi, D. S., & Agarwal, S. (2014). Impact of climate change on yields of major food crops in India: Implications for food security. Agricultural Economics Research Review, 27(2), 145–155. https://doi.org/10.5958/0974-0279.2014.00019.0
Birthal, P. S., Joshi, P. K., & Narayanan, A. V. (2011). Agricultural diversification in India: Trends, contribution to growth and small farmer participation. ICRISAT Discussion Paper.
Chambers, D. P. (2003). Basin-scale thermosteric sea level variations: 1993–2002. Paper presented at EGS-AGU-EUG Joint Meeting, Nice, France. https://doi.org/10.1029/2002JC001662
DAC. (2015). Agricultural statistics at a glance 2014. Department of Agriculture and Cooperation, Government of India.
De Silva, C. S., Weatherhead, E. K., Knox, J. W., et al. (2007). Predicting the impacts of climate change: A case study of paddy irrigation water requirements in Sri Lanka. Agricultural Water Management, 93, 19–29. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2007.06.007
Easterling, W. F., Aggarwal, P. K., Batima, P., et al. (2007). Food, fibre and forest products. In M. L. Parry et al. (Eds.), Climate change 2007: Impacts, adaptation and vulnerability (pp. 273–313). Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511546013
Eitzinger, J., Stastna, M., Zalud, Z., et al. (2003). A simulation study of the effect of soil water balance and water stress on winter wheat production under different climate change scenarios. Agricultural Water Management, 61, 195–217. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0378-3774(02)00167-6
Faisal, I. M., & Parveen, S. (2004). Food security in the face of climate change, population growth and resource constraints: Implications for Bangladesh. Environmental Management, 34, 487–498. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00267-004-0145-0
FAO. (2016). Global forum on food security and nutrition—Discussion No. 128. http://www.fao.org/fsnforum
Geethalakshmi, V., Lakshmanan, A., Rajalakshmi, D., et al. (2011). Climate change impact assessment and adaptation strategies to sustain rice production in Tamil Nadu. Current Science, 101(3).
GOI. (2014). Agriculture census 2010–11. Government of India.
Gregory, P. J., Ingram, J. S. I., & Brklacich, M. (2005). Climate change and food security. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B, 360, 2139–2148. https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2005.1745
Guo, S., Wang, J., Xiong, L., et al. (2002). A macro-scale and semi-distributed monthly water balance model to predict climate change impacts in China. Journal of Hydrology, 268, 1–15. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-1694(02)00075-6
Gupta, S. K., & Deshpande, R. D. (2004). Water for India in 2050: First-order assessment. Current Science, 86(9), 1216–1224.

